Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000192 0.000213 0.000235 0.000261 0.000289 0.000320 0.000357
2025-09-21 0.000151 0.000180 0.000214 0.000257 0.000310 0.000372 0.000453
2025-09-28 0.000124 0.000156 0.000195 0.000248 0.000318 0.000407 0.000530
2025-10-05 0.000110 0.000145 0.000190 0.000253 0.000341 0.000460 0.000636
2025-10-12 0.000100 0.000136 0.000185 0.000258 0.000363 0.000513 0.000746
2025-10-19 0.000090 0.000126 0.000178 0.000256 0.000374 0.000551 0.000841
2025-10-26 0.000083 0.000120 0.000173 0.000258 0.000392 0.000600 0.000956
2025-11-02 0.000075 0.000112 0.000166 0.000255 0.000400 0.000633 0.001050
2025-11-09 0.000070 0.000106 0.000161 0.000254 0.000410 0.000671 0.001158
2025-11-16 0.000064 0.000099 0.000154 0.000249 0.000415 0.000699 0.001250
2025-11-23 0.000058 0.000093 0.000147 0.000243 0.000415 0.000720 0.001331
2025-11-30 0.000056 0.000090 0.000146 0.000247 0.000433 0.000774 0.001484
2025-12-07 0.000053 0.000087 0.000144 0.000250 0.000451 0.000834 0.001662
2025-12-14 0.000048 0.000081 0.000138 0.000245 0.000454 0.000863 0.001784
2025-12-21 0.000044 0.000075 0.000130 0.000236 0.000449 0.000878 0.001876
2025-12-28 0.000042 0.000074 0.000129 0.000241 0.000470 0.000950 0.002111
2026-01-04 0.000040 0.000072 0.000128 0.000245 0.000491 0.001022 0.002360
2026-01-11 0.000038 0.000068 0.000125 0.000243 0.000500 0.001069 0.002554
2026-01-18 0.000036 0.000067 0.000124 0.000246 0.000517 0.001139 0.002821
2026-01-25 0.000034 0.000063 0.000120 0.000242 0.000522 0.001179 0.003018
2026-02-01 0.000032 0.000061 0.000117 0.000241 0.000531 0.001232 0.003259
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000058 0.000113 0.000237 0.000533 0.001265 0.003451
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000055 0.000108 0.000231 0.000529 0.001285 0.003609